There's always people who say how great they are at picking football against the spread. Touts. Posters. Usually the ones who thump their chests the most are the biggest bull shitters. Just like when you are in a casino. The sports bettors (and actually pretty much all bettors) that are making the least amount of noise are the ones betting the most amount of money. The screamers and yellers are usually not betting all that much.
Anyway, I run a pool for the Bowls each year with my friends. I don't include them all (mainly because I want them neatly on a one page spreadsheet - I have 35 Bowl games). So to date we've only had the Las Vegas, Camellia, Miami Beach, and Boca Raton Bowls. This year, I have 127 people in the Pool. After tonight, a grand total of SEVEN - out of 127, have gone 4-0 ATS. Or 5.5%.
Last year, we had 113 people - and the best person - ONE person - went 24-11. Out of 113 people. That's a remarkable 68.6% ATS. So when you hear that tout, or friend, tell you how he's calling the games at a 75% rate ATS, take a sniff - because it's a 99% shot you're being bull-shitted.
I'm sure most know this. I just thought it was interesting to once again see just how damn hard it is to call games ATS.
Anyway, I run a pool for the Bowls each year with my friends. I don't include them all (mainly because I want them neatly on a one page spreadsheet - I have 35 Bowl games). So to date we've only had the Las Vegas, Camellia, Miami Beach, and Boca Raton Bowls. This year, I have 127 people in the Pool. After tonight, a grand total of SEVEN - out of 127, have gone 4-0 ATS. Or 5.5%.
Last year, we had 113 people - and the best person - ONE person - went 24-11. Out of 113 people. That's a remarkable 68.6% ATS. So when you hear that tout, or friend, tell you how he's calling the games at a 75% rate ATS, take a sniff - because it's a 99% shot you're being bull-shitted.
I'm sure most know this. I just thought it was interesting to once again see just how damn hard it is to call games ATS.
